Aurum EdgeXAUUSD confluence AI

XAUUSD confluence terminal

Six factors must agree — market structure, Fibonacci, liquidity, confirmation, session and volatility. Nothing fires below 76.

Timeframe
$4295.40
-1.33% vs prior close
Live spot feed · quoted 03:43 UTC

Score alerts

Turn alerts on and you'll hear a chime plus a pop-up only when a confirmed setup appears — the same signal shown in Live decision.

now 17

Live decision

Asia

1D candle signal · next in 1227m · closes 00:00 UTC

17
score
1% conf.
No trade — waiting for confluencerange structureInitial jobless claims

Reason: Equal lows swept at 4247.30 (fake breakout)

Scoring engine

threshold 76
Trend alignment0.0/30
Fibonacci zone0.0/20
Liquidity sweep20.0/20
Confirmation (BOS / engulfing)0.0/15
Chart pattern0.0/10
Session0.0/10
Volatility0.0/5
Macro (DXY / US10Y)0.0/5

−3 news risk penalty applied

Total17.0 / 100

Confidence 1% comes from a logistic model calibrated on 2 historical setups (min 76%).

Gold structure

1D candles · fib zone shaded

Checklist

  • ✓Equal lows swept at 4247.30 (fake breakout)
  • ✕No clear trend — structure is ranging
  • ✕Price outside the 0.5–0.786 retracement zone
  • ✕Double bottom pattern conflicts with the trend
  • ✕Waiting for entry confirmation (BOS or engulfing candle)
  • ✕Outside London/New York hours (Asia)
  • ✕Volatility unsuitable (ATR 2.74%)
  • ✕Session excluded in your settings
  • ✕No entry trigger on the signal candle

Backtest — same rules, 1D gold

5.0 years of data
Trades
2
Win rate
100.0%
Profit factor
—
Expectancy
+2.00R
Max drawdown
0.00R
Net result
+4.00R
Hit take profit
2
100% of signals
Hit stop loss
0
0% of signals
Closed with no result
0
still running when the price history ends
2023-03-15+2.00R · TP
Side
BUY
Entry
1897.40
Exit
2160.41
Score 79
2022-05-25+2.00R · TP
Side
SELL
Entry
1812.40
Exit
1654.92
Score 78

Risk & context

Risk per trade (1%)
$100.00
Position size
0.02 oz
0.00 standard lots · account $10,000
ATR (14)
$117.87
2.74% of price
Dollar bias
Strengthening
USD index proxy, 10-day drift
US 10-year yield
5.00%
Rising — gold headwind
  • • Analysis uses the live spot gold price ($4295.40).

Data: COMEX gold futures structure (1 day, 5y) · Live spot XAUUSD · Alpha Vantage USD index proxy · Alpha Vantage US10Y. Educational analysis, not financial advice.

Machine-learning probability model

gradient boosted trees

Training on 1D gold history… this runs right here in your browser.

Economic calendar

news filter on

No release in the blackout window right now — signals run normally.

Initial jobless claimsMedium impact
09/17 12:30 UTC · in 8h 57m

Weekly unemployment filings. Rising claims hint at a softening economy and support gold; falling claims favour the dollar. Short, sharp reaction.

Initial jobless claimsMedium impact
09/24 12:30 UTC · in 7d 8h

Weekly unemployment filings. Rising claims hint at a softening economy and support gold; falling claims favour the dollar. Short, sharp reaction.