XAUUSD confluence terminal
Six factors must agree — market structure, Fibonacci, liquidity, confirmation, session and volatility. Nothing fires below 75.
Score alerts
Turn alerts on and you'll hear a chime plus a pop-up only when a confirmed setup appears — the same signal shown in Live decision.
Live decision
New York1H candle signalSignal issued at the open of this 1H candle and held until it closes at 21:00 UTC.
Scoring engine
threshold 75No TP probability is shown while the answer is NO TRADE — it only applies to a confirmed setup (gate 70%).
How the AI decides
XAUUSD AIBearish trend — Continuation / pullback
No high-impact release window
Liquidity event and structure break required; Fibonacci zone adds to the score
Top-down M5 entries apply on the 5-minute chart
P(TP before SL) 10% · needs 70%
-0.89R after spread, slippage and commission · needs +0.15R
Position size below broker minimum lot
Entry pipeline
Stopped at: Liquidity eventMarket analysis
Bearish trend → Continuation / pullback · ATR percentile 87, efficiency 0.68, EMA50–200 gap -3.02 ATR, 20-bar range 7.6 ATR
Higher timeframe bearish
Trade trigger
Waiting for a sweep of highs/lows against the trade
Impulse candle 1.70× ATR in the trade direction
BOS confirmed
Pullback into the break impulse
Waiting for engulfing / pin bar / rejection candle
Trade permission
1:0.08 (min 1:1.2) — capped by support at 3859.12
Clear — spread not supplied by feed
Execute
Needs score ≥ 75 and confidence > 70%
High-probability checklist
4/12 metHigher-timeframe trend clear
Structure and 50/200 agree
Liquidity sweep (stop hunt)
No stop-hunt wick yet
Double top/bottom (confirmed)
Forming at 4024.55 — needs a rejection candle
Fibonacci pullback + trend
At -7.5% — waiting for a 50 / 61.8 / 78.6% pullback
Trendline break + retest
No clean trendline breakout
BOS + pullback
Broke 3878.40, pulled back 63%
Key zone + liquidity sweep
No swept level or discount zone
Structure confirms (BOS/CHoCH)
Break of structure
Rejection candle trigger (engulfing / pin bar / wick)
Waiting for an engulfing, pin bar or rejection wick
Volume supports the move
0.98x average
No major news risk
Calendar clear
SL/TP built from ATR
Stop 6.01× ATR, target 1:0.08
Full reading (16 confirmed · 8 missing)
- ✓bearish market structure (LH/LL)
- ✓Trend confirmed by moving averages and an unbroken swing
- ✓Momentum still pushing down (5.46× average range over 10 candles)
- ✓Equal highs at 4030.40 (6 touches)
- ✓Equal lows at 4007.30 (9 touches)
- ✓Untouched equal highs at 4037.30 as target liquidity
- ✓Break of structure (BOS) confirmed
- ✓New York session active
- ✓Healthy volatility (ATR 0.52%)
- ✓Dollar and yields agree with the direction
- ✓Regime: Bearish trend → Continuation / pullback
- ✓Target sized to a 50% score: 1:0.08 (0.46× average range)
- ✓RSI 16 leaves room in the trade direction
- ✓Break of structure at 3878.40, then a 63% pullback — entering on the resumption
- ✓Double top at 4024.55 forming — waiting for a rejection candle, not traded blindly
- ✓Higher trend (50/200 average) agrees with the direction
- ✕Price outside the 0.5–0.786 retracement zone
- ✕No liquidity sweep before entry
- ✕Waiting for an engulfing confirmation candle
- ✕Not enough room: support at 3859.12 caps the target at 1:0.08 (min 1:1.2)
- ✕Volume only 0.98x average — move not backed
- ✕No quality entry zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.786 or swept level)
- ✕Score 50 below the 75 gate
- ✕Model win probability 10% below the 70% gate
Gold structure
1H candles · fib zone shadedBacktest — same rules, 1H gold
0.4 years of dataNo historical setup cleared a score of 75 — that is the selectivity working. Lower the threshold in your settings to see more.
Risk & context
XAUUSDStop too wide: 0.01 lot minimum would risk $120.41 — skip
Broker XAUUSD spec (copy from your MT4/MT5 symbol specification)
- • Analysis uses the live spot gold price ($3876.40).
Data: COMEX gold futures structure (1 hour, 730d) · Live spot XAUUSD · Twelve Data DXY (6-currency) + IEF yield proxy. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
Setup scanner
Every timeframe, two grades: A when every condition passes, B (scout) when the core ones do. 0 ready now.
Generate signal using all the tools
Reads trend, zones, Fibonacci, liquidity, structure, candle, volume, momentum, news and ATR on every timeframe, then gives the single strongest setup that passes all of them.
Reading every timeframe…
Take profit vs stop loss
recent real gold prices, standard broker costsReplaying every timeframe on real gold history…
Machine-learning probability model
gradient boosted treesTraining on 1H gold history… this runs right here in your browser.
Economic calendar
news filter onNo release in the blackout window right now — signals run normally.
Early read on the jobs market and a warm-up for NFP. Moves gold briefly and often sets the tone for the payrolls session.
Rate decision plus the press conference. The single most violent window for gold — direction can flip twice within the hour. Stay out until it settles.
Weekly unemployment filings. Rising claims hint at a softening economy and support gold; falling claims favour the dollar. Short, sharp reaction.
The biggest gold mover of the month. Strong jobs lift the dollar and yields and usually push gold down; a weak print sends gold up fast. Spreads widen and stops get hunted — signals are paused around it.